Wheeling Nailers - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

88 points

41-16-3-3

Playoff chances: CLINCHED

Current Streak: 7W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 7 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Mar 28 Sat 03-28

WOR 1

WHL 2

Fri Mar 27 Fri 03-27

WOR 0

WHL 4

Sun Mar 22 Sun 03-22

WHL 3

TR 1

Sat Mar 21 Sat 03-21

WHL 3

TR 2

Fri Mar 20 Fri 03-20

WHL 4

TR 3

Sat Mar 14 Sat 03-14

ADK 2

WHL 4

Fri Mar 13 Fri 03-13

ADK 0

WHL 4

Wed Mar 11 Wed 03-11

REA 1

WHL 0

Sat Mar 07 Sat 03-07

WHL 3

RC 1

Fri Mar 06 Fri 03-06

WHL 4

RC 3

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, April 01 Importance: 13

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Championship race implications Team on 5-game winning streak Team on 7-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 04 Importance: 11

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Toledo Walleye 85 pts (100%)

Game in 6 days Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Team on 4-game losing streak Team on 7-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 2 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: 5

Worcester Railers 61 pts (0%)

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Team on 7-game winning streak High quality matchup Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Tuesday, April 07 Importance: -5

Cincinnati Cyclones 64 pts (16%)

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Game in 9 days Team on 7-game winning streak Some playoff implications High quality matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 17 Importance: -7

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Toledo Walleye 85 pts (100%)

Game in 19 days Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Team on 4-game losing streak Team on 7-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 2 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 10 Importance: -7

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Reading Royals 75 pts (100%)

Game in 12 days Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 7-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 11 Importance: -8

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Reading Royals 75 pts (100%)

Game in 13 days Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 7-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, April 12 Importance: -9

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Reading Royals 75 pts (100%)

Game in 14 days Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 7-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Wheeling Nailers.

Last 10 Games

Record: 9-1-0-0

Points: 18 (.900)

Goal Differential: +17

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +34.7%

vs Conference Avg: +35.3%

vs Division Avg: +33.8%

Last 7 Days

Record: 4-0-0-0

Points: 8 (1.000)

Goal Differential: +8

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +45.2%

vs Conference Avg: +48.8%

vs Division Avg: +46.6%

Last 30 Days

Record: 11-2-1-0

Points: 23 (.821)

Goal Differential: +20

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +27.6%

vs Conference Avg: +27.7%

vs Division Avg: +26.3%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 70.9%

Win Round 2: 43.8%

Win Round 3: 21.8%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 11.1%

Expected Playoff Games: 13.6

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.4

Home vs Away

Home: 23-6-2-2 (.758)

+19.2% vs league +17.3% vs conf +16.5% vs div

Away: 18-10-1-1 (.633)

+9.8% vs league +11.3% vs conf +13.3% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

2-1-0-0 (.667)

November 2025

12-2-1-0 (.833)

December 2025

6-4-0-0 (.600)

January 2026

6-4-1-1 (.583)

February 2026

5-4-0-2 (.545)

March 2026

10-1-1-0 (.875)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

29-14-1-2 (.663)

Western:

12-2-2-1 (.794)

By Opponent Division

North:

29-14-1-2 (.663)

South:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Central:

9-2-2-1 (.750)

Mountain:

3-0-0-0 (1.000)

After Previous Result

After Win:

26-11-1-2 (.688)

After Reg. Loss:

11-2-2-1 (.781)

After OTL:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

After SOL:

1-2-0-0 (.333)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

20-6-3-1 (.733)

1 Day Rest:

8-2-0-1 (.773)

2 Days Rest:

3-2-0-0 (.600)

3+ Days Rest:

9-6-0-1 (.594)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Wednesday:

5-4-0-1 (.550)

Thursday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

13-5-0-1 (.711)

Saturday:

16-5-1-0 (.750)

Sunday:

5-2-2-1 (.650)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 7 game winning streak (Mar 13 - Mar 28)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 7 games (Mar 13 - Mar 28)

Longest Win Streak: 8 game (Oct 26 - Nov 15)

Longest Loss Streak: 5 game (Jan 24 - Feb 01)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 9 game (Nov 22 - Dec 07)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 7 game (Jan 24 - Feb 06)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

15-5-3-3 (.692)

Two-Goal Games:

11-2 (.846)

Three-Goal Games:

7-7 (.500)

4+ Goals:

8-2 (.800)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

26-10-2-3 (.695)

vs Below .500:

15-6-1-0 (.705)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.43

Avg Goals Against: 2.00

Avg Goal Differential: +1.43

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .546

SOS Rank: #17

RPI: .584

RPI Rank: #4

Performance vs Expected

88 Points 85.8

.698 Points % .681

+50 Goal Diff +80.4

198 Goals For 233.6

148 Goals Against 153.2

41 Wins 42.9

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 23

95%: Oct 17

90%: Oct 17

75%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 57.1% on Dec 07

35%: Nov 29

25%: Oct 23

15%: Oct 23

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Mar 22

Best Position: 1st on Nov 18

Worst Position: 24th on Oct 31

Recent Change: ↗ 3rd from 8th (Feb 26-Mar 28)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Mar 22

Best Position: 1st on Nov 15

Worst Position: 13th on Oct 24

Recent Change: ↗ 2nd from 5th (Feb 26-Mar 28)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Feb 27

Best Position: 1st on Nov 15

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 25

Recent Change: ↗ 1st from 2nd (Feb 26-Mar 28)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Status: Clinched Playoffs

North Championship

Magic Number: 16

Tragic Number: 25

Eastern Championship

Magic Number: 22

Tragic Number: 12

Brabham Cup Championship

Magic Number: 34

Tragic Number: 2

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the WHL finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	10,000
106	8	1	0	0	In	0.0%	74 26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	23
105	8	1	0	0	In	0.0%	71 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	35
104	7	2	0	0	In	0.0%	49 51 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	182
103	7	2	0	0	In	0.0%	41 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	298
102	6	3	0	0	In	0.0%	21 78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	708
101	6	3	0	0	In	0.0%	13 83 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	774
100	5	4	0	0	In	0.0%	5 85 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,283
99	5	4	0	0	In	0.0%	3 77 19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,237
98	4	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 62 34 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,537
97	4	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 43 44 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,096
96	3	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 29 45 22 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,114
95	3	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 14 40 37 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	666
94	2	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 5 28 47 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	526
93	2	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 18 45 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	260
92	1	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 1 5 39 53 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	158
91	1	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 3 8 75 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	63
90	0	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 13 71 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	31
89	0	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 38 38 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	8
88	0	9	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1