Fort Wayne Komets - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

85 points

38-15-9-0

Playoff chances: CLINCHED

Current Streak: 5W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Mar 28 Sat 03-28

IND 2

FW 5

Fri Mar 27 Fri 03-27

BLM 3

FW 4

Sat Mar 21 Sat 03-21

FW 3

CIN 2

Fri Mar 20 Fri 03-20

FW 3

CIN 2

Sun Mar 15 Sun 03-15

IND 0

FW 1

Sat Mar 14 Sat 03-14

FW 2

BLM 3

Fri Mar 13 Fri 03-13

FW 1

IND 2

Wed Mar 11 Wed 03-11

IA 2

FW 5

Sun Mar 01 Sun 03-01

FW 3

WHL 2

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

WHL 4

FW 6

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, April 01 Importance: 13

Wheeling Nailers 88 pts (100%)

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Championship race implications Team on 5-game winning streak Team on 7-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: 8

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Indy Fuel 71 pts (80%)

Team on 5-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 3 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Friday, April 03 Importance: 0

Iowa Heartlanders 48 pts

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Game in 5 days Team on 5-game winning streak Division matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 04 Importance: -1

Iowa Heartlanders 48 pts

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Game in 6 days Team on 5-game winning streak Division matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, April 12 Importance: -3

Toledo Walleye 85 pts (100%)

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Game in 14 days Team on 5-game winning streak Team on 4-game losing streak Some playoff implications Teams tied in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 10 Importance: -5

Kalamazoo Wings 66 pts (46%)

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Game in 12 days Team on 5-game winning streak Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 11 Importance: -6

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Kalamazoo Wings 66 pts (46%)

Game in 13 days Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 5-game winning streak Playoff race implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Thursday, April 16 Importance: -9

Toledo Walleye 85 pts (100%)

Fort Wayne Komets 85 pts (100%)

Game in 18 days Team on 5-game winning streak Team on 4-game losing streak Some playoff implications Teams tied in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Fort Wayne Komets.

Last 10 Games

Record: 8-1-1-0

Points: 17 (.850)

Goal Differential: +11

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +29.7%

vs Conference Avg: +29.0%

vs Division Avg: +24.3%

Last 7 Days

Record: 3-0-0-0

Points: 6 (1.000)

Goal Differential: +5

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +45.2%

vs Conference Avg: +41.7%

vs Division Avg: +41.7%

Last 30 Days

Record: 8-2-1-0

Points: 17 (.773)

Goal Differential: +10

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +22.7%

vs Conference Avg: +22.6%

vs Division Avg: +18.4%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 74.4%

Win Round 2: 43.2%

Win Round 3: 21.1%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 10.2%

Expected Playoff Games: 13.6

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.4

Home vs Away

Home: 15-11-2-0 (.571)

+0.6% vs league +2.5% vs conf +4.8% vs div

Away: 23-4-7-0 (.779)

+24.4% vs league +22.8% vs conf +19.3% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

4-1-0-0 (.800)

November 2025

9-3-1-0 (.731)

December 2025

3-3-3-0 (.500)

January 2026

7-3-2-0 (.667)

February 2026

8-4-2-0 (.643)

March 2026

7-1-1-0 (.833)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

7-1-2-0 (.800)

Western:

31-14-7-0 (.663)

By Opponent Division

North:

5-0-2-0 (.857)

South:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

Central:

30-11-5-0 (.707)

Mountain:

1-3-2-0 (.333)

After Previous Result

After Win:

24-10-3-0 (.689)

After Reg. Loss:

7-4-4-0 (.600)

After OTL:

6-1-2-0 (.778)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

20-7-3-0 (.717)

1 Day Rest:

3-4-3-0 (.450)

2 Days Rest:

2-1-2-0 (.600)

3+ Days Rest:

12-3-1-0 (.781)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Wednesday:

6-2-2-0 (.700)

Thursday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

12-6-3-0 (.643)

Saturday:

13-3-4-0 (.750)

Sunday:

6-4-0-0 (.600)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 5 game winning streak (Mar 15 - Mar 28)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 games (Mar 14 - Mar 28)

Longest Win Streak: 5 game (Jan 17 - Jan 31)

Longest Loss Streak: 5 game (Dec 19 - Jan 03)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 7 game (Feb 13 - Feb 25)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 5 game (Dec 19 - Jan 03)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

15-9-9-0 (.591)

Two-Goal Games:

6-2 (.750)

Three-Goal Games:

9-2 (.818)

4+ Goals:

8-2 (.800)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

31-14-8-0 (.660)

vs Below .500:

7-1-1-0 (.833)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.09

Avg Goals Against: 2.18

Avg Goal Differential: +0.91

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .575

SOS Rank: #5

RPI: .595

RPI Rank: #1

Performance vs Expected

85 Points 84.4

.685 Points % .681

+55 Goal Diff +79.2

214 Goals For 229.9

159 Goals Against 150.7

38 Wins 42.2

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Mar 01

95%: Oct 17

90%: Oct 17

75%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 12.3% on Dec 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 7th since Mar 27

Best Position: 1st on Oct 18

Worst Position: 15th on Oct 25

Recent Change: ↘ 7th from 5th (Feb 26-Mar 28)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Mar 27

Best Position: 1st on Oct 31

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 25

Recent Change: ↘ 4th from 3rd (Feb 26-Mar 28)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Mar 06

Best Position: 1st on Oct 19

Worst Position: 4th on Oct 25

Recent Change: ↘ 2nd from 1st (Feb 26-Mar 28)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Status: Clinched Playoffs

Central Championship

Magic Number: 18

Tragic Number: 21

Western Championship

Magic Number: 37

Tragic Number: 1

Brabham Cup Championship

Magic Number: 37

Tragic Number: 1

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the FW finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	10,000
105	9	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	33
104	9	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	66
103	8	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	322
102	8	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	390
101	7	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 98 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	915
100	7	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 94 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	896
99	6	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 85 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,440
98	6	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 72 27 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,161
97	5	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 52 45 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,452
96	5	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 31 58 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	954
95	4	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 16 55 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	970
94	4	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 8 53 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	556
93	3	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 3 32 65 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	443
92	3	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 22 78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	200
91	2	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 11 88 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	131
90	2	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 8 89 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	37
89	1	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 90 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	29
88	1	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
87	0	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
86	0	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1