Tucson Roadrunners
71 points
31-28-9-0
Playoff chances: 2.7%
Current Streak:
1W
Unbeaten in Regulation:
1 game
Recent Games
Fri Apr 10
Fri 04-10
TUC
5
@
COL
2
Wed Apr 08
Wed 04-08
TUC
2
@
BAK
5
Sat Apr 04
Sat 04-04
TUC
4
@
HSK
5
Fri Apr 03
Fri 04-03
TUC
3
@
HSK
4
Wed Apr 01
Wed 04-01
TUC
0
@
SD
3
Sat Mar 28
Sat 03-28
ONT
2
@
TUC
4
Fri Mar 27
Fri 03-27
ONT
3
@
TUC
2
Mon Mar 23
Mon 03-23
TUC
4
@
MB
1
Sat Mar 21
Sat 03-21
TUC
4
@
MB
3
Sun Mar 15
Sun 03-15
SJ
4
@
TUC
5
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Saturday, April 11
Importance: 4
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Away team on back-to-back
Wednesday, April 15
Importance: 2
Teams close in standings
Quality matchup
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, April 17
Importance: -1
Game in 6 days
Team on 5-game winning streak
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, April 18
Importance: -3
Game in 7 days
Team on 5-game winning streak
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Tucson Roadrunners.
Last 10 Games
Record:
5-5-0-0
Points:
10 (.500)
Goal Differential:
+1
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-3.7%
vs Conference Avg:
-2.4%
vs Division Avg:
-2.5%
Last 7 Days
Record:
1-3-0-0
Points:
2 (.250)
Goal Differential:
-2
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-30.8%
vs Conference Avg:
-26.9%
vs Division Avg:
-30.4%
Last 30 Days
Record:
6-5-1-0
Points:
13 (.542)
Goal Differential:
+2
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-0.4%
vs Conference Avg:
+0.5%
vs Division Avg:
+0.1%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
2.7%
Win Round 1:
0.9%
Win Round 2:
0.3%
Win Round 3:
0.1%
Win Round 4:
0.0%
🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆:
0.0%
Expected Playoff Games:
4.5
Expected Playoff Rounds:
1.5
Home vs Away
Home:
14-13-7-0
(.515)
-5.9% vs league -6.3% vs conf -9.5% vs div
-5.9% vs league -6.3% vs conf -9.5% vs div
Away:
17-15-2-0
(.529)
-1.4% vs league -0.9% vs conf +0.1% vs div
-1.4% vs league -0.9% vs conf +0.1% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
3-4-1-0
(.438)
November 2025
5-5-1-0
(.500)
December 2025
4-3-3-0
(.550)
January 2026
7-3-3-0
(.654)
February 2026
4-5-0-0
(.444)
March 2026
7-4-1-0
(.625)
April 2026
1-4-0-0
(.200)
By Opponent Conference
Eastern Conference:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Western Conference:
31-28-9-0
(.522)
By Opponent Division
Atlantic Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
North Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Central Division:
5-2-1-0
(.688)
Pacific Division:
26-26-8-0
(.500)
After Previous Result
After Win:
12-13-5-0
(.483)
After Reg. Loss:
14-11-3-0
(.554)
After OTL:
4-4-1-0
(.500)
After SOL:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
10-9-6-0
(.520)
1 Day Rest:
8-3-1-0
(.708)
2 Days Rest:
4-6-2-0
(.417)
3+ Days Rest:
8-10-0-0
(.444)
By Day of Week
Monday:
1-0-0-0
(1.000)
Tuesday:
0-2-1-0
(.167)
Wednesday:
2-8-2-0
(.250)
Thursday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Friday:
10-7-1-0
(.583)
Saturday:
12-8-3-0
(.587)
Sunday:
6-3-2-0
(.636)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
1 game winning streak
(Started Apr 10)
Current Unbeaten in Regulation:
1 game
(Started Apr 10)
Longest Win Streak:
5 game
(Jan 02 - Jan 16)
Longest Loss Streak:
4 game
(Jan 17 - Jan 24)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
10 game
(Dec 27 - Jan 20)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
9 game
(Jan 17 - Feb 04)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
15-6-9-0
(.650)
Two-Goal Games:
5-12
(.294)
Three-Goal Games:
7-5
(.583)
4+ Goals:
4-5
(.444)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
20-25-7-0
(.452)
vs Below .500:
11-3-2-0
(.750)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
3.75
Avg Goals Against:
3.58
Avg Goal Differential:
+0.17
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.559
SOS Rank:
#16
RPI:
.550
RPI Rank:
#18
Performance vs Expected
71
Points
70.8
.522
Points %
.521
-14
Goal Diff
-29.3
216
Goals For
194.3
230
Goals Against
223.6
31
Wins
35.4
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Oct 10
95%:
Oct 10
90%:
Oct 10
75%:
Oct 10
Recent Trend:
↘ Decreasing
Championship Odds:
Peak:
3.1% on Oct 10
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
20th since Apr 10
Best Position:
11th on Oct 24
Worst Position:
28th on Dec 21
Recent Change:
↘ 20th from 19th (Mar 11-Apr 10)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
12th since Apr 07
Best Position:
4th on Oct 22
Worst Position:
15th on Dec 20
Recent Change:
↘ 12th from 11th (Mar 11-Apr 10)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
8th since Mar 04
Best Position:
2nd on Oct 19
Worst Position:
9th on Nov 14
Recent Change:
→ 8th position (Mar 11-Apr 10)
Magic/Tragic Numbers
Playoffs
Magic Number:
14
Tragic Number:
4
Pacific Division Championship
Status:
Eliminated
Western Conference Championship
Status:
Eliminated
Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy Championship
Status:
Eliminated
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the TUC finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 | 25,000 |
| 79 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 38 46 3 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,094 |
| 78 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 21 62 16 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,213 |
| 77 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 58 35 1 0 0 0 0 | 4,464 |
| 76 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 61 4 0 0 0 0 | 3,507 |
| 75 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 67 16 0 0 0 0 | 6,457 |
| 74 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 65 30 0 0 0 0 | 3,070 |
| 73 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 46 53 0 0 0 0 | 3,581 |
| 72 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31 69 0 0 0 0 | 872 |
| 71 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 86 0 0 0 0 | 742 |