Providence Bruins - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

104 points

51-14-2-0

Playoff chances: CLINCHED

Current Streak: 1L

Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games

Winless in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Apr 04 Sat 04-04

PRO 1

ROC 2

Fri Apr 03 Fri 04-03

PRO 4

SYR 2

Wed Apr 01 Wed 04-01

PRO 3

UTC 2

Sun Mar 29 Sun 03-29

SPR 4

PRO 2

Sat Mar 28 Sat 03-28

BRI 4

PRO 6

Wed Mar 25 Wed 03-25

PRO 2

SPR 1

Sat Mar 21 Sat 03-21

UTC 2

PRO 5

Fri Mar 20 Fri 03-20

PRO 4

UTC 3

Wed Mar 18 Wed 03-18

PRO 3

LV 6

Sun Mar 15 Sun 03-15

SPR 4

PRO 3

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Friday, April 10 Importance: 4

Providence Bruins 104 pts (100%)

Hartford Wolf Pack 56 pts (0%)

Team on 6-game losing streak High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 11 Importance: 4

Rochester Americans 71 pts (100%)

Providence Bruins 104 pts (100%)

Team on 3-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, April 12 Importance: 3

Springfield Thunderbirds 66 pts (94%)

Providence Bruins 104 pts (100%)

Team on 4-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Division matchup Final game(s) in close season series Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 17 Importance: -6

Providence Bruins 104 pts (100%)

Utica Comets 63 pts (0%)

Game in 8 days High quality matchup Conference matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 18 Importance: -7

Utica Comets 63 pts (0%)

Providence Bruins 104 pts (100%)

Game in 9 days High quality matchup Conference matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Providence Bruins.

Last 10 Games

Record: 6-3-1-0

Points: 13 (.650)

Goal Differential: +3

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +11.3%

vs Conference Avg: +10.0%

vs Division Avg: +8.8%

Last 7 Days

Record: 3-1-1-0

Points: 7 (.700)

Goal Differential: +2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +14.6%

vs Conference Avg: +11.6%

vs Division Avg: +5.4%

Last 30 Days

Record: 9-4-1-0

Points: 19 (.679)

Goal Differential: +9

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +13.3%

vs Conference Avg: +12.5%

vs Division Avg: +10.2%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 100.0%

Win Round 2: 74.8%

Win Round 3: 46.7%

Win Round 4: 31.4%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 19.0%

Expected Playoff Games: 11.6

Expected Playoff Rounds: 3.5

Home vs Away

Home: 25-8-0-0 (.758)

+18.4% vs league +19.0% vs conf +19.8% vs div

Away: 26-6-2-0 (.794)

+25.0% vs league +24.4% vs conf +22.2% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

7-0-0-0 (1.000)

November 2025

9-3-0-0 (.750)

December 2025

5-3-1-0 (.611)

January 2026

10-2-0-0 (.833)

February 2026

9-2-0-0 (.818)

March 2026

9-4-0-0 (.692)

April 2026

2-0-1-0 (.833)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

51-14-2-0 (.776)

Western Conference:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

35-12-1-0 (.740)

North Division:

16-2-1-0 (.868)

Central Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Pacific Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

37-12-2-0 (.745)

After Reg. Loss:

12-2-0-0 (.857)

After OTL:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

15-8-2-0 (.640)

1 Day Rest:

7-1-0-0 (.875)

2 Days Rest:

13-4-0-0 (.765)

3+ Days Rest:

15-1-0-0 (.938)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

Wednesday:

10-3-0-0 (.769)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

12-0-0-0 (1.000)

Saturday:

17-5-2-0 (.750)

Sunday:

12-5-0-0 (.706)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game losing streak (Started Apr 04)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games (Apr 01 - Apr 04)

Current Winless in Regulation: 1 game (Started Apr 04)

Longest Win Streak: 13 game (Jan 17 - Feb 20)

Longest Loss Streak: 2 game (Feb 21 - Feb 22)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 13 game (Jan 17 - Feb 20)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Nov 08 - Nov 16)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

21-3-2-0 (.846)

Two-Goal Games:

13-5 (.722)

Three-Goal Games:

12-5 (.706)

4+ Goals:

5-1 (.833)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

33-11-2-0 (.739)

vs Below .500:

18-3-0-0 (.857)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.50

Avg Goals Against: 2.86

Avg Goal Differential: +0.64

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .544

SOS Rank: #29

RPI: .599

RPI Rank: #1

Performance vs Expected

104 Points 102.4

.776 Points % .764

+75 Goal Diff +129.9

225 Goals For 279.6

150 Goals Against 149.7

51 Wins 51.2

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

95%: Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 86.9% on Mar 25

35%: Oct 17

25%: Oct 17

15%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Mar 14

Best Position: 1st on Oct 29

Worst Position: 16th on Oct 11

Recent Change: ↗ 1st from 2nd (Mar 08-Apr 08)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Jan 24

Best Position: 1st on Oct 17

Worst Position: 3rd on Oct 19

Recent Change: → 1st position (Mar 08-Apr 08)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Jan 24

Best Position: 1st on Oct 12

Worst Position: 2nd on Oct 11

Recent Change: → 1st position (Mar 08-Apr 08)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Status: Clinched Playoffs

Atlantic Division Championship

Status: Atlantic Division Champion

Eastern Conference Championship

Status: Eastern Conference Champion

Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy Championship

Magic Number: 9

Tragic Number: 12

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the PRO finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	10,000
114	4	1	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	734
113	4	1	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	619
112	3	2	0	0	In	93.4%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2,179
111	3	2	0	0	In	86.2%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,328
110	2	3	0	0	In	65.1%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2,279
109	2	3	0	0	In	50.1%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,008
108	1	4	0	0	In	27.3%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,163
107	1	4	0	0	In	19.4%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	320
106	0	5	0	0	In	7.9%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	304
105	0	5	0	0	In	2.4%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	41
104	0	5	0	0	In	0.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	25