Tampa Bay Lightning - NHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

102 points

48-23-4-2

Playoff chances: CLINCHED

Current Streak: 1L

Winless in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Mon Apr 06 Mon 04-06

TBL 2

BUF 4

Sat Apr 04 Sat 04-04

BOS 1

TBL 3

Thu Apr 02 Thu 04-02

PIT 3

TBL 6

Tue Mar 31 Tue 03-31

MTL 4

TBL 1

Sun Mar 29 Sun 03-29

NSH 2

TBL 3

Sat Mar 28 Sat 03-28

OTT 2

TBL 4

Thu Mar 26 Thu 03-26

SEA 4

TBL 3

Tue Mar 24 Tue 03-24

MIN 3

TBL 6

Sun Mar 22 Sun 03-22

TBL 3

CGY 4

Sat Mar 21 Sat 03-21

TBL 5

EDM 2

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Thursday, April 09 Importance: 14

Tampa Bay Lightning 102 pts (100%)

Montréal Canadiens 100 pts (100%)

Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Tuesday, April 07 Importance: 7

Tampa Bay Lightning 102 pts (100%)

Ottawa Senators 90 pts (76%)

Championship race implications Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Saturday, April 11 Importance: 5

Tampa Bay Lightning 102 pts (100%)

Boston Bruins 95 pts (99%)

Championship race implications Team on 3-game losing streak Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Monday, April 13 Importance: -1

Detroit Red Wings 88 pts (13%)

Tampa Bay Lightning 102 pts (100%)

Game in 6 days Some playoff implications High quality matchup Division matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, April 15 Importance: -5

New York Rangers 75 pts

Tampa Bay Lightning 102 pts (100%)

Game in 8 days High quality matchup Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Tampa Bay Lightning.

Last 10 Games

Record: 6-2-2-0

Points: 14 (.700)

Goal Differential: +7

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +14.8%

vs Conference Avg: +12.5%

vs Division Avg: +11.2%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-2-0-0

Points: 4 (.500)

Goal Differential: +0

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -4.0%

vs Conference Avg: +1.3%

vs Division Avg: +1.6%

Last 30 Days

Record: 10-5-2-0

Points: 22 (.647)

Goal Differential: +15

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +8.9%

vs Conference Avg: +6.2%

vs Division Avg: +6.3%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 63.8%

Win Round 2: 38.3%

Win Round 3: 22.6%

🏆 Win Stanley Cup 🏆: 12.3%

Expected Playoff Games: 12.9

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.2

Home vs Away

Home: 25-13-1-0 (.654)

+6.7% vs league +4.3% vs conf +2.8% vs div

Away: 23-10-3-2 (.671)

+13.2% vs league +11.6% vs conf +11.3% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

5-4-2-0 (.545)

November 2025

11-3-0-0 (.786)

December 2025

7-6-0-1 (.536)

January 2026

11-1-0-1 (.885)

February 2026

4-2-0-0 (.667)

March 2026

8-6-2-0 (.562)

April 2026

2-1-0-0 (.667)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

25-17-2-1 (.589)

Western:

23-6-2-1 (.766)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic:

14-7-1-0 (.659)

Metropolitan:

11-10-1-1 (.522)

Central:

11-4-0-1 (.719)

Pacific:

12-2-2-0 (.812)

After Previous Result

After Win:

33-10-3-2 (.740)

After Reg. Loss:

12-10-0-0 (.545)

After OTL:

2-1-1-0 (.625)

After SOL:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

7-5-2-0 (.571)

1 Day Rest:

30-12-1-1 (.705)

2 Days Rest:

8-3-1-1 (.692)

3+ Days Rest:

3-2-0-0 (.600)

By Day of Week

Monday:

5-3-0-0 (.625)

Tuesday:

9-5-1-0 (.633)

Wednesday:

3-1-0-0 (.750)

Thursday:

10-6-1-0 (.618)

Friday:

2-0-1-1 (.750)

Saturday:

13-6-0-1 (.675)

Sunday:

6-2-1-0 (.722)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game losing streak (Started Apr 06)

Current Winless in Regulation: 1 game (Started Apr 06)

Longest Win Streak: 11 game (Dec 20 - Jan 13)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Oct 14 - Oct 23)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 15 game (Dec 20 - Jan 23)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Oct 14 - Oct 23)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

13-9-4-2 (.571)

Two-Goal Games:

11-5 (.688)

Three-Goal Games:

14-5 (.737)

4+ Goals:

10-4 (.714)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

43-20-2-2 (.672)

vs Below .500:

5-3-2-0 (.600)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 4.00

Avg Goals Against: 3.12

Avg Goal Differential: +0.88

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .560

SOS Rank: #29

RPI: .586

RPI Rank: #3

Performance vs Expected

102 Points 101.4

.662 Points % .659

+64 Goal Diff +75.9

279 Goals For 281.9

215 Goals Against 206.1

48 Wins 50.7

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Apr 01

95%: Oct 08

90%: Oct 08

75%: Oct 08

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 12.0% on Feb 27

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Apr 04

Best Position: 2nd on Jan 18

Worst Position: 30th on Oct 11

Recent Change: ↗ 3rd from 6th (Mar 07-Apr 06)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Apr 02

Best Position: 1st on Nov 29

Worst Position: 16th on Oct 11

Recent Change: ↗ 2nd from 3rd (Mar 07-Apr 06)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Apr 02

Best Position: 1st on Nov 24

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 19

Recent Change: ↗ 1st from 2nd (Mar 07-Apr 06)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Status: Clinched Playoffs

Atlantic Championship

Magic Number: 8

Tragic Number: 11

Eastern Championship

Magic Number: 13

Tragic Number: 9

President's Trophy Championship

Magic Number: 21

Tragic Number: 3

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the TBL finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of President's Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16	7,500
112	4	1	0	0	In	0.0%	87 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	371
111	4	1	0	0	In	0.3%	73 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	393
110	3	2	0	0	In	0.1%	54 46 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,277
109	3	2	0	0	In	0.0%	26 63 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,041
108	2	3	0	0	In	0.0%	16 60 21 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,671
107	2	3	0	0	In	0.0%	4 37 44 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	935
106	1	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 21 50 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,052
105	1	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 2 35 62 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	407
104	0	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 2 25 73 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	284
103	0	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 4 93 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	45
102	0	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 96 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	24